CASE STUDY
Eskom
Energy Flow Simulator

Project Details

  • Client
    Eskom,
    Sunninghill, South Africa
  • Date
    2013–2014
  • Lead
    Enerweb

Eskom needed a visually interactive energy flow model, with forecasting, impact simulation and optimisation algorithms to enable planning engineers to model and determine the effects of different demand and supply side options on primary fuel costs and system profile impacts.

Development of the Eskom Energy Flow Simulator was a highly successful four-year research assignment aimed as a decision-support system in the goal towards keeping the lights on and making Eskom a high performance organisation.

The model started off as a technical Energy Flow Simulator, including modelling for demand side initiatives and renewable generation, but has been expanded to provide visual and interactive feedback on decision effects in terms of the Eskom income statement, Eskom’s financial sustainability and its financial performance. This specifically was achieved regarding fuel costs (from a production cost minimising LP solver), and revenue derived from a sales perspective.

Benefits

The Energy Flow Simulator enhances decision support and helps Eskom keep the lights on. Examples of its application include:
  • Scenario analysis and investigation, including a weekly optimum fuel planning module, run for 5 years, on a weekly basis, optimising 14 energy generation slots per week, each with 168 hours.
  • Scenario planning e.g. power station Energy Availability Factor (EAF) level modelling and national economic impact assessment.
  • Sales forecast variation impact analysis on plant utilisation and fuel costs.
BENEFITS

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